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Oil sits tight, ponders Iraq-U.S. cat-and-mouse play

REUTERS
WRAPUP-U.S. hits out at oil producers, says prices harmful
Reuters, 09.21.02, 6:42 AM ET


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(updates with EU, India paras 8-9, Saudi paras 22-23)

By Andrew Mitchell and Richard Mably

OSAKA, Japan, Sept 21 (Reuters) - The United States on Saturday, in an apparent swipe at the OPEC cartel, called high oil prices harmful and potentially damaging to world economic growth.

"High prices could produce an undesirable ripple effect on the economies of the world," said U.S. Energy Secretary Spencer Abraham.

"If the industrialised world experiences an economic slump its markets for the developing world's products will contract, damaging developing economies."

Abraham was addressing the opening session in Osaka of the International Energy Forum of some 60 oil consuming and producing countries, included most OPEC nations.

He was speaking after the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries this week defied consumer country calls for extra oil to meet winter demand.

Their agreement helped support oil prices near $30 a barrel for U.S. benchmark crude but traders say U.S. plans to oust Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein, by force if necessary, are the biggest factor behind this year's 40 percent rise in oil prices.

Other major consumer interests echoed Abraham's concerns.

European Union Energy Commissioner Loyala de Palacio told reporters: "There is concern that prices are at the top of the limit. This doesn't help economic recovery which is taking longer than expected."

"In our opinion the real long-term balanced price is just above $20.

Indian Energy Minister Ram Naik said India's comfort zone for prices was $22-$24 a barrel. "The existing price concerns me and many developing countries like India," he said.

WON'T BEG

Abraham made no direct mention of OPEC.

But he condemned the record of international oil markets since the mid-1990s, saying that volatile prices were "becoming increasingly problematic."

"High prices may be pleasing to producers in the short term but in the long term volatile pricing regimes of this kind are destabilising and harmful to all participants in the market," Abraham said. U.S. oil prices since 1998 have swung between $11 and $37 a barrel.

It was Washington's harshest public criticism of oil producers since the administration of oilman George W.Bush came to office in January 2001.

Until now, Abraham has preferred to use quiet diplomacy, only urging OPEC to let free markets set prices.

That tack has not worked. OPEC in January cut its production quotas to the lowest level in a decade, helping force prices towards the top end of the group's $22-$28 a barrel target, equivalent to $30 for U.S. crude.

Abraham said Washington would not go cap in hand to OPEC for more oil.

"We aren't going to beg for oil. Producers have their way of looking at things and the U.S. has to do that as well," he said.

But he sought to remind producer states of their pledge to maintain stable supplies.

"It has been most welcome that many oil suppliers have come forward to provide assurances to the market that they would take action to increase production were there ever to be an interruption in the flow of world oil supplies."

He made no mention of U.S. military plans to remove Saddam Hussein, president of OPEC founder member Iraq.

OPEC's powerful minister, Saudi Arabia's Ali al-Naimi said there was no question of Riyadh's reliability as the world's leading source of oil.

Also speaking in Osaka he said: "I can't think of any producing nation that has gone to the extent of the kingdom in servicing its dedicated customers and shoring up any weaknesses in the global oil market." If oil prices stayed high, Abraham warned producers, they would backfire on the supplying nations by making alternative energy resources economic.

"Extended periods of high prices make previously uneconomic alternatives attractive and will lead sooner rather than later to the result net producing nations want least: early discovery of a permanent low price alternative," he said.

Copyright 2002, Reuters News Service





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